Market Line
Free tool · Odds and vig

Odds converter and no-vig calculator

Type a price in any format to see it in the others, including the win rate you need to break even. Then enter both sides of a market to see the book's hold and the fair, vig-free price for each side.

Converter

American · decimal · implied probability

Type in any box; the others follow.

%
Break-even win rate
52.38%
You need to win this often just to break even.
$100 bet wins
$90.91
Returns $190.91 including the stake.
Vig and fair price

No-vig calculator

Both sides of a two-way market (spread, total or moneyline).

Book hold
4.55%
Overround 104.76%.
Vig per side
2.38%
Extra implied probability you pay on each side, on average.
SidePriceFair prob.Fair price
A-11050.00%+100
B-11050.00%+100

Fair prices use proportional vig removal (each side scaled so the two add to 100%). A price better than the fair price elsewhere is a positive-value bet if this market is efficient.

Runs entirely in your browser; nothing you type is sent anywhere. For information only: not betting advice. 21+.

The formulas

  • American to decimal: positive odds: 1 + odds / 100. Negative odds: 1 + 100 / |odds|. So +150 is 2.50 and -110 is 1.909.
  • Implied probability: negative odds: |odds| / (|odds| + 100). Positive odds: 100 / (odds + 100). Or simply 1 / decimal odds.
  • Hold: add both sides' implied probabilities to get the overround; the book's theoretical hold is 1 - 1 / overround.
  • No-vig fair probability: each side's implied probability divided by the overround.

Reading a market

A standard -110 / -110 market holds about 4.5%. Reduced-juice markets at -105 / -105 hold about 2.4%, which is a large difference over a season of bets. When one side is +100 at one book and the fair price from another market is -105, that gap is the value.

Questions

How do I convert American odds to implied probability?

For negative odds, divide the odds by the odds plus 100 (using the absolute value): -110 is 110 / 210 = 52.4%. For positive odds, divide 100 by the odds plus 100: +150 is 100 / 250 = 40%. That's also the win rate you need to break even at that price.

What is the vig (juice)?

The bookmaker's margin. In a -110 / -110 market both sides imply 52.4%, which adds up to 104.8%. The extra 4.8% is the overround; the book's theoretical hold is about 4.5% of the money wagered.

What is a no-vig or fair price?

The price with the bookmaker's margin removed, found by scaling both sides' implied probabilities so they add up to 100%. It's the market's estimate of the true probability, and the right baseline for judging a price or measuring closing-line value.

Are decimal odds better than American odds?

They're the same information. Decimal odds include your stake (2.50 returns $2.50 per $1, including the dollar), which makes payouts and comparisons easier; American odds are standard at US sportsbooks.

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